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Emissions are set to almost halve by 2050. (Image source: DNV)

DNV has released its 'Energy Transition Outlook', which notes that 2024 will go down as the year of peak energy emissions

Energy-related emissions are at the cusp of a prolonged period of decline for the first time since the industrial revolution. Emissions are set to almost halve by 2050, but this is a long way short of requirements of the Paris Agreement. The Outlook forecasts the planet will warm by 2.2 °C by end of the century.

The peaking of emissions is largely due to plunging costs of solar and batteries which are accelerating the exit of coal from the energy mix and stunting the growth of oil. Annual solar installations increased 80% last year as it beat coal on cost in many regions. Cheaper batteries, which dropped 14% in cost last year, are also making the 24-hour delivery of solar power and electric vehicles more affordable. The uptake of oil was limited as electrical vehicles sales grew by 50%. In China, where both of these trends were especially pronounced, peak gasoline is now in the past.

China is dominating much of the global action on decarbonisation at present, particularly in the production and export of clean technology. It accounted for 58% of global solar installations and 63% of new electrical vehicle purchases last year. And whilst it remains the world’s largest consumer of coal and emitter of CO2, its dependence on fossil fuels is set to fall rapidly as it continues to install solar and wind. China is the dominating exporter of green technologies although international tariffs are making their goods more expensive in some territories.

“Solar PV and batteries are driving the energy transition, growing even faster than we previously forecasted,” said Remi Eriksen, group president and CEO of DNV. “Emissions peaking is a milestone for humanity. But we must now focus on how quickly emissions decline and use the available tools to accelerate the energy transition. Worryingly, our forecasted decline is very far from the trajectory required to meet the Paris Agreement targets. In particular, the hard-to-electrify sectors need a renewed policy push.”

Striking shifts in energy mix

The success of solar and batteries is not replicated in the hard-to-abate sectors, where essential technologies are scaling slowly. DNV has revised the long-term forecast for hydrogen and its derivatives down by 20% (from 5% to 4% of final energy demand in 2050) since last year. And although DNV has revised up its carbon capture and storage forecast, only 2% of global emissions will be captured by CCS in 2040 and 6% in 2050. A global carbon price would accelerate the uptake of these technologies.

Wind remains an important driver of the energy transition, contributing to 28% of electricity generation by 2050. In the same timeframe, offshore wind will experience 12% annual growth rate although the current headwinds impacting the industry are weighing on growth.

Despite these challenges, the peaking of emissions is a sign that the energy transition is progressing. The energy mix is moving from a roughly 80/20 mix in favour of fossil fuels today, to one which is split equally between fossil and non-fossil fuels by 2050. In the same timeframe, electricity use will double, which is also at the driver of energy demand only increasing 10%.

“There is a growing mismatch between short term geopolitical and economic priorities versus the need to accelerate the energy transition. There is a compelling green dividend on offer which should give policymakers the courage to not only double down on renewable technologies, but to tackle the expensive and difficult hard-to-electrify sectors with firm resolve,” added Eriksen

The Outlook also examines the impact of artificial intelligence on the energy transition. AI will have a profound impact on many aspects of the energy system, particularly for the transmission and distribution of power. And although data points are currently sparse, DNV does not forecast that the energy footprint of AI will alter the overall direction of the transition. It will account for 2% of electricity demand by 2050.

*CO2 emissions from the combustion of coal, oil and gas

, neotork optimises drilling by allowing higher drilling parameters to improve the rate of penetration (ROP). Image source: Adobe Stock

Neo Oiltools, a provider of drilling performance tools for the oil and gas industry, has appointed Saudi Arabia-based Saja Energy as the official distributor of the neotork Vibration Management Tool in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

neotork optimises drilling by adjusting the depth of cut and allowing higher drilling parameters to improve the rate of penetration (ROP). The tool protects the drill bit and bottom hole assembly (BHA) to reduce failures, trips out of the well and downtime, all while increasing safety.

With a proven track record of over 14mn feet drilled in 1,500 wells worldwide, neotork effectively manages torque generated by the drill bit and reduces vibrations across all four dimensions in offshore and onshore applications. The tool’s unique technology ensures that once downhole torque exceeds the preset limit, a system of disc springs and steel cables automatically contracts to reduce the bit depth of cut. The excess torque ‘stored’ in the system is slowly released as the drilling structure drills off. Crucially, the bit remains engaged with the formation at all times so drilling is not interrupted.

“We are very pleased to work with Saja Energy to bring the only tool that can protect drilling operations against all four types of vibrations and torque dysfunctions back to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia,” stated Robert Borne, Neo Oiltools’ chief executive officer. “This strategic alliance will provide significant benefits to the main operator in the region.”

Paul Day, chief executive officer at Saja Energy, added that the technology addresses the particular challenges operators encounter in Saudi Arabia. “Its reusability and ability to increase drilling efficiency strategically meets our customer's needs to reduce costs while improving performance – and supports our In Kingdom Total Value goal,” he added.

The programme aims to enhance the involvement of local companies in the energy sector. (Image source: QatarEnergy)

QatarEnergy has announced the launch of Tawteen initiative’s enhanced In-Country Value (ICV) programme, with the aim of boosting the involvement of local companies in the energy sector

This enhanced version makes significant improvements to the original ICV programme launched in 2019 to make it more inclusive, adaptable, and beneficial for all participants.

One of the Program’s key amendments is the refined ICV formula, which is engineered to provide a wider scope of the local contribution for all companies. In addition, a bonus scheme has been introduced to reward companies for their positive contributions in selected fields.

The enhanced ICV programme also introduces the ICV+ policy, which is specifically designed to provide targeted support to local manufacturers, enabling them to meet the evolving demands of the industry and contribute to the country’s economic growth.

To further empower micro and small enterprises, the Program introduces a blanket score policy offering a standardised ICV score that supports their competitiveness in the market, while a simplified certification process will alleviate the administrative and financial burden for micro and small enterprises who work directly with the energy sector. It is hoped these measures will foster an inclusive local supply chain, where businesses of all sizes can thrive.

It is also proposed to increase the number of ICV certification bodies interested in joining the program, which will contribute to improving the efficiency of procedures and widen the range of options for suppliers seeking to obtain ICV certification.

Tawteen is the supply chain localisation programme for the energy sector in Qatar, led by QatarEnergy with the participation of the other companies operating in this sector. The ICV program has made significant progress in the last few years, increasing the local contribution of the energy sector from 14% to 28.5% and creating around 7,000 jobs. Localisation is a strong priority of national oil companies throughout the region.

To register or get more information on the ICV program, please visit icv.qa or email This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

John Morgan and Marc Gerrard, RenQuip directors launching the company's groundbreaking flange spreading technology. (Image source: Renquip)

RenQuip, a manufacturer of hydraulic and mechanical equipment, is expanding globally, and is set to reinforce its position in the Middle East following a significant contract win

Founded in 2021, RenQuip outperformed its revenue projections by 20% in 2022, and tripled its revenue in 2023. As of 2024, the company has doubled its workforce to 14 dedicated team members and is on track to achieve a further 25% growth over the previous year.

A key driver of this success has been RenQuip’s robust expansion strategy, particularly its focus on the US market, where it has added 20 new distributors and resellers in 2024.

RenQuip’s strategic expansion into the Middle East has already resulted in a significant order secured from a major operator in Saudi Arabia. Looking ahead, the company is set to continue its growth trajectory in the Middle East while also expanding into new markets in Asia and Central Europe. To facilitate this continued expansion, RenQuip is launching a comprehensive new product catalogue, producing a series of application videos, and introducing an array of innovative new products designed to meet the evolving needs of its global customer base.

Marc Gerrard, managing director of RenQuip, said, “Our growth in 2024 is a testament to our strategic vision, commitment to quality, and the strength of our team. As we continue to expand globally, our focus remains on exceeding our clients’ expectations through continuous innovation and dedication to excellence in all aspects of our business.”

RenQuip plans to further strengthen its global presence and solidify its position as a leader in the hydraulic and mechanical equipment industry.

Oil prices could surge to more than US$100/bbl if the crisis escalates further. (Image source: Adobe Stock)

The escalating crisis in the Middle East is triggering fears of sky-high oil prices

Oil prices could surge to US$100 a barrel if Iran's missile attack on Israel triggers a retaliatory cycle that targets energy infrastructure or closes the Strait of Hormuz, according to the latest analysis from Bloomberg Intelligence. It notes that for now, oil output and flows remain undisrupted, and upward pressure on prices may remain subdued after a 5% jump on 1 October, if escalation is avoided.

Iran's direct missile attacks on Israel have had a relatively muted impact on oil prices, with oil output and flows remaining undisrupted thus far, though a retaliatory cycle targeting energy infrastructure would result in a larger price spike. Direct attacks on energy facilities could severely disrupt oil production in the Gulf, as Yemeni drone attacks on the Abqaiq oil facilities did in 2019.

Salih Yilmaz, senior energy industry analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence commented, “In the extreme-case scenario, closing of the Strait of Hormuz could drive prices above US$100 a barrel. The strait is the only maritime route out of the Gulf, making it the world's most vital oil-supply bottleneck, with its daily flow of 21 million barrels, roughly 20% of global consumption.”

Iran's last direct attack on 13 April had a limited impact on oil prices as further escalation was avoided, Bloomberg notes.

Rystad Energy chief economist Claudio Galimberti commented, “The intensifying conflict in the Middle East is generating significant supply concern in the global crude market, with prices up more than 4% this week. The potential for supply disruptions – particularly, but not exclusively from Iran – increases as the fighting intensifies.

“But OPEC+ still sits on unusually ample spare capacity, which is the result of successive production cuts over the past two years. This spare capacity is for now preventing runaway prices amid one of the deepest and most pervasive crises in the Middle East in the past four decades.”

Rystad notes that currently, Iran produces approximately 4mn bpd of crude, exporting about half of that, mostly to China. OPEC+ spare capacity is currently more than 5mn bpd, which could be deployed relatively quickly to fill the gap. However, any blockage to the Strait of Hormuz would result in runaway prices.

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