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Energy Transition

A significant wave of new investment in LNG is expected in the coming years. (Image source: Adobe Stock)

Global upstream oil and gas investment is expected to increase by 7% in 2024 to reach US$570bn, following a similar rise in 2023, according to the IEA’s latest World Energy Investment report

The growth in oil and gas spending in 2023 and 2024 is dominated by national oil companies in the Middle East and Asia. NOCs are set to provide over 40% of global upstream spending in 2024, compared with less than 25% in 2015, and NOCs in the Middle East and Asia have been responsible for nearly all the increase in investment in 2023 and 2024. This includes investment by PetroChina to explore for conventional resources and develop tight liquids and gas basins, Saudi Aramco’s push to meet its expanded gas production target, and new sour gas field developments in the UAE

A significant wave of new investment is expected in LNG in the coming years as new liquefaction plants are built, mainly in the USA and Qatar.

Clean energy investment by oil and gas companies reached US$30bn in 2023, accounting for only 4% of the industry’s overall capital spending, according to the report.

Global clean energy investment growing strongly

However, global investment in clean energy is set to be almost double the amount going to fossil fuels in 2024, helped by improving supply chains and lower costs for clean technologies. Total energy investment worldwide is expected to exceed US$3trillion in 2024, with some US$2 trillion set to go toward clean technologies, according to the report. In 2024, investment in solar PV is set to grow to US$500bn, boosted by the fall in module prices.

China is set to account for the largest share of clean energy investment in 2024, reaching an estimated US$675bn, followed by Europe and the USA, with clean energy investment of US$370bn and US$315bn respectively. The new report highlights however the low level of clean energy spending in emerging and developing economies (outside China), with the high cost of capital being a key constraint.

“Clean energy investment is setting new records even in challenging economic conditions, highlighting the momentum behind the new global energy economy. For every dollar going to fossil fuels today, almost two dollars are invested in clean energy,” said IEA executive director Fatih Birol.

“More must be done to ensure that investment reaches the places where it is needed most, in particular the developing economies where access to affordable, sustainable and secure energy is severely lacking today.”

Energy investment in the Middle East is expected to reach approximately US$175bn in 2024, with fossil fuels predominating and clean energy accounting for only around 15% of total investment.

“The region’s power sector holds a distinct opportunity for increasing investment in clean energy technologies, notably for solar PV,” the report notes.

Accurate flare gas measurement is essential for controlling emissions. (Image source: Adobe Stock)

A new partnership between Fluenta and SEGITEC will potentially help North African operators reduce their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions

Fluenta, which provides ultrasonic sensing technology to measure flare gas, has been appointed official distributor for SEGITEC, a North Africa-focused integrator of control and instrumentation solutions. Fluenta's solutions and SEGITEC's established distribution network in North Africa will facilitate accurate and reliable flare gas measurement for operators, which is essential for emissions control, demonstrating environmental commitment, complying with regulatory requirements and ensuring safety.

Emissions reduction priority

Reducing emissions and minimising environmental impact are top priorities for oil, gas and petrochemicals companies worldwide. In North Africa, Algeria has committed to reducing its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 22% by 2030, Tunisia has set a conditional emissions reduction target of 45% below 2010 levels by 2030, and Gabon is aiming for a 50% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2025. More than 50 oil and gas companies committed to ending routine flaring by 2030 at COP28, as well as to increasing transparency on GHG emissions.

Julian Dudley-Smith, Fluenta managing director said, "Fluenta's mission to help operators comply with environmental regulations is complemented by SEGITEC's expertise in providing value-added services, which include project management, engineering, commissioning, operations, and maintenance. The partnership will support operators' decarbonisation plans, enhance environmental credentials, and ensure compliance with regulations and safety standards."

Omar Ben Ayed, SEGITEC's CEO, said, "This partnership is a significant milestone, as it allows us to offer energy companies in North Africa and Gabon the best-in-class solutions to meet tightening environmental standards. Together, we are committed to empowering the region's oil, gas, and petrochemical industries to achieve their environmental goals while maintaining operational excellence."

SEGITEC and Fluenta will be showcasing at this year’s NAPEC event on 14-16 October in Algeria.

e-NG can use existing infrastructure. (Image source: Adobe Stock)

TES and OQ Alternative Energy have signed an agreement to assess the development of an e-NG facility in Oman

e-NG is a green hydrogen-based green molecule chemically identical to natural gas and obtained by combining green hydrogen with CO2 through a methanation process. As such it can leverage existing infrastructure for liquefaction, regasification, transportation and storage, gradually replacing natural gas.

Leading in green hydrogen

Oman is a leader in the development of a green hydrogen economy, aiming to produce in excess of 1mt annum of green hydrogen by 2030. Its strong renewable resources, in particular wind and solar, combined with a one-stop-shop implementation framework under Hydrom’s directive, has boosted the Sultanate’s attraction as a green hydrogen hub.

“This agreement with OQAE underscores our dedication to advancing the global energy transition and strengthens our commitment and ongoing activities in the Middle East. By harnessing the expertise of OQAE, a global leader in the energy industry, we are enabling the production of green hydrogen at an industrial scale, making e-fuels accessible and cost-effective,” said Marco Alverà, CEO and co-founder of TES.

Najla Al Jamali, CEO of OQ Alternative Energy, added, “Collaborating on the study helps us move forward to identify additional downstream opportunities and vectors to diversify markets for green hydrogen.”

TES co-founded the global e-NG Coalition in March 2024 with industry leaders TotalEnergies, Engie, Sempra Infrastructure, Mitsubishi Corporation, Tokyo Gas, Osaka Gas and Toho Gas.

The GCC countries have the potential to become leading clean energy hubs. (Image source: Adobe Stock)

The GCC countries are strategically positioned to become leading global clean energy hubs, according to the latest report in MUFG's ESG series

With global efforts towards the energy transition increasingly being recognised, regulators and policymakers in the GCC economies have incorporated decarbonisation plans into their national vision transformation programmes.

To achieve net zero targets across the region, extensive investments are being undertaken to decarbonise high-carbon emitting sectors in hydrocarbon production, power generation and industrial production, with the speed of execution contingent on technological advancement and availability, as well as an increase in the private sector participation.

Having said that, a recalibration of the energy trilemma post-COVID from sustainability towards energy security and affordability, is witnessing GCC transition targets take a pragmatic approach that is pro-growth and pro-climate. This approach recognises that sustainable systems are more value creating than traditional ones, but shutting down the old conventional economy too quickly threatens to push the price of building a cleaner new economy out of reach. This two-pronged approach of addressing the energy transition and safeguarding energy security recognises the sheer complexity of ecosystems, demanding greater alignment and collaboration on everything from capital allocation to product design, public policy as well as behavioural changes on the demand-side of the equation.

MUFG argues that the GCC region remains well positioned to capitalise on its comparative advantages of low-cost positioning across the energy value chain, geographical proximity to key import markets and its constructive regulatory backdrop to become a vital global decarbonisation vanguard. These favourable characteristics, combined with a constructive macro backdrop, will enable these economies to strengthen their pedigree beyond conventional fossil fuel energy sources in becoming a global hub for both clean electrons (solar, wind, EVs and energy storage) and clean molecules (hydrogen, carbon capture and bioenergy).

More than US$630bn of investments will be required through to 2035 for the region to achieve its ambitious decarbonisation targets, MUFG says, led by four strategic areas, namely, (1) the burgeoning role of natural gas as a transition fuel; (2) the development of attractive renewables capacities; (3) an expansion in carbon sequestration and clean fuel offerings through a rising focus on clean technology investments; and (4) investments in critical infrastructure and logistics to support the transition.

To read the full report, go to https://www.mufgresearch.com//commodities-esg/esg-series-gcc-region-and-the-energy-transition-strategically-positioned-to-become-a-vital-global-decarbonisation-vanguard/?utm_source=email&utm_medium=publication&utm_campaign=ESG+Series:+GCC+region+and+the+energy+transition

Thomas Evans, Origination Lead EMEA, GHD. (Image source: GHD)

Thomas Evans, Origination Lead EMEA at global professional services company GHD discusses the prospects for scaling up hydrogen development in the MENA region

How do you view prospects for advancing hydrogen development in the region, and what role will the UAE's National Hydrogen strategy play in advancing hydrogen development in the UAE?

The prospects for advancing hydrogen development in the region are extremely promising. Particularly in the Middle East, countries not only have access to abundant natural resources but also possess significant investment capabilities and expertise in attracting international businesses and talent. Combined with economic stability, the region is well positioned as a global leader in low-carbon hydrogen production and innovation.

Developed in alignment with the UAE’s Centennial 2071 ambition, the UAE's National Hydrogen Strategy provides a comprehensive roadmap for establishing a successful hydrogen economy. A key focus of the strategy is on generating and supporting a domestic hydrogen market. While there may be a temptation to concentrate on production capabilities, understanding and developing domestic demand is crucial. The strategy recognises that although the technology for hydrogen export is still evolving, successful and economically sustainable hydrogen economies should first focus on their domestic markets, with the potential for international exports in the mid to long term.

The UAE's strategy also stresses the need for the integration of various hydrogen production technologies. It considers the use of blue hydrogen (derived from natural gas with carbon capture, utilisation, and storage (CCUS)), green hydrogen (produced from renewable sources), and other emerging technologies to meet its ambitious targets. A diverse technological approach will be key to advancing hydrogen development.

What are the main challenges to scaling up hydrogen development, and how can these be tackled?

Scaling up hydrogen development presents several challenges, particularly when examining the context of the UAE’s hydrogen industry.

Most importantly, there is a need for clear governance and regulatory frameworks to facilitate the growth of the hydrogen economy. We can draw valuable lessons from international examples such as the US Inflation Reduction Act, the UK Hydrogen Business Model, and EU policies like Fit for 55 and the European Hydrogen Bank. Establishing such frameworks will help remove barriers and provide more investment opportunities, propelling the hydrogen strategy forward.

The CAPEX and OPEX for low-carbon hydrogen production are currently high. Without effective market mechanisms, hydrogen is unable to compete on price with natural gas and other fossil fuels. Addressing this challenge requires the implementation of policies and incentives that can lower costs and make hydrogen more competitive. Having said this, we have seen CAPEX prices decreasing in the last 2 years by around 25% to 30% which is a positive sign for the industry.

The low-carbon hydrogen offtake market is still immature. In the UAE, there is a significant opportunity to become a leader in domestic hydrogen usage and the production of high-value green products for both export and domestic markets, such as green steel. However, there is a degree of "progress paralysis" globally, due to uncertainties about the growth rate of the hydrogen offtake market. Developing a robust domestic demand is crucial in the short term, as it helps de-risk investments by providing a guaranteed market for hydrogen products.

Supply chain constraints represent both an opportunity and a challenge for the UAE’s hydrogen economy. Currently, the global supply chain is under pressure, with long lead times and slower than anticipated technology learning rates. Strengthening the local supply chain can alleviate these issues.

Read the full interview in the latest issue of the magazine, at https://oilreviewmiddleeast.com/magazines/orme_2024_05_02/spread/?page=18

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