Shipping is seen as one of the most promising opportunities for low-carbon ammonia and methanol. (Image source: Adobe Stock)

While ammonia and methanol are gaining traction as low-carbon fuels and hydrogen carriers to support the global energy transition, large-scale adoption is slow due to uncertain demand, says data and analytics company GlobalData

Demand for low-carbon ammonia and methanol is being driven by industries such as shipping, power generation, fertilizers, and chemicals, given their potential to decarbonise existing operations. GlobalData’s Strategic Intelligence report, “Ammonia and Methanol in Energy Transition,” reveals that countries such as Japan, South Korea, China, and members of the European Union are backing low-carbon projects, while companies including Yara, Maersk, CF, and Mitsubishi are exploring large-scale investments to boost their production.

Low-carbon ammonia capacity is estimated to grow to nearly 250 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) by 2030, with more than 460 upcoming plants globally. Low-carbon methanol is also projected to grow, with plant numbers approaching 150 by 2030. However, many projects are in early stages of development, with some hydrogen-linked initiatives already seeing delays or cancellations.

The report also highlights that low-carbon ammonia and methanol are closely linked to the scaling of hydrogen, acting as carriers for transport and storage. However, growth depends on stronger infrastructure commitments, technology advancements, and regulatory requirements. Shipping is seen as the most promising immediate opportunity, but significant investment and regulatory clarity are required to move beyond pilots.

Ravindra Puranik, Oil and Gas analyst at GlobalData, commented, “Low-carbon ammonia and methanol could complement the energy transition by acting as fuels and hydrogen carriers, but their role is far from guaranteed. Cost competitiveness, safety standards, and infrastructure development will be critical. Without supportive regulation and faster project execution, many of the current net-zero ambitions may not translate into reality.

“Low-carbon ammonia and methanol initiatives had a promising start earlier this decade. However, the pace of development is already slowing, with some high-profile hydrogen projects seeing cancellations or postponement. Combined with high production costs and technical challenges in handling, this raises doubts about whether low-carbon ammonia and methanol can achieve the scale once envisioned. These challenges underline the gap between announced capacity and what will realistically materialise by 2030.”

Steel remains one of the most carbon-intensive industries

Sustainable technologies are attracting unprecedented attention across sectors, particularly as the global shift toward net zero intensifies.

From the increasing use of low-carbon hydrogen in industries like green steel to the development of alternative fuels and renewable energy solutions, companies are actively seeking viable pathways to decarbonise.

IDTechEx’s Energy & Decarbonisation and Sustainability Research Reports provide in-depth coverage of these trends, exploring cutting-edge technologies and their impact on various markets.

The steel industry’s role in emissions

Steel remains one of the most carbon-intensive industries, and demand continues to rise due to global population growth, accelerating industrialisation, the AI-driven expansion of data centres, and the rollout of renewable energy infrastructure. As a result, efforts to decarbonise steelmaking have become critical.

The traditional blast furnace route, still the dominant method for crude steel production, emits roughly 2.3 tonnes of CO₂ per tonne of steel produced. This poses significant sustainability challenges and is pushing regulators to tighten emissions controls and promote low-carbon alternatives.

Electric arc furnaces (EAFs), often used in steel recycling, offer a cleaner alternative. When powered by renewable electricity, EAFs can enable near-zero-emission steel production. This method is already in use and forms the backbone of green steel projects. When paired with direct reduced iron (DRI) technology, hydrogen can be used as a reducing agent instead of fossil fuels. IDTechEx’s report Green Steel 2025–2035 explores these technologies in detail, outlining their benefits, challenges and commercial potential.

Hydrogen as a low-emissions alternative

Green hydrogen, produced via water electrolysis using renewable energy, is emerging as a viable low-carbon energy carrier. It is particularly suited to sectors where electrification is difficult or inefficient. Companies already using hydrogen in industrial processes, such as chemical manufacturers, fertiliser producers and refineries, are expected to lead the early adoption of green hydrogen, given the relatively minor adjustments required to existing infrastructure.

Heavy industries such as steel and long-haul transportation are likely to be major consumers of green hydrogen up to 2040. Hydrogen fuel cells are gaining traction due to their faster refuelling times and longer range compared to batteries. In these cases, green hydrogen provides a sustainable energy source that aligns with decarbonisation goals.

Beyond 2040, green hydrogen is expected to play a growing role in power generation, aviation, and long-duration energy storage, though cost remains a key barrier. Progress in water electrolyser technologies will be crucial to scaling green hydrogen. Advances in component innovation and reduced dependence on critical raw materials will help drive adoption. IDTechEx’s report Materials for Green Hydrogen Production 2026–2036 covers the key technologies and suppliers supporting this evolution.

Green energy technologies rely heavily on advanced materials. Composite materials like carbon fibre offer the strength and lightweight properties needed for efficiency and durability. However, their own production processes can be energy-intensive and difficult to decarbonise.

Also read: Advanced tracer technology for CCS monitoring

ANRPC personnel. (Image source: ANRPC)

Mitsubishi Power has completed a groundbreaking hydrogen fuel conversion project at the Alexandria National Refining and Petrochemicals Company (ANRPC) refinery in Egypt, the first industrial application of hydrogen use as fuel in an industrial boiler in Egypt and the MENA region, according to the company

Mitsubishi Power carried out the design, engineering, supply and installation of the equipment and control systems to rehabilitate and upgrade a 100-ton-per-hour main boiler, converting it from heavy fuel oil and natural gas to a 100% hydrogen fuel. The project also contributed to the utilisation of 14,000 tons per year of hydrogen-rich gases available in the production units, reducing natural gas consumption by around 24,000 tons and contributing to a reduction of carbon emissions by approximately 65,000 tons per year.

This project marks a significant step forward in Egypt's energy transition and decarbonisation goals, as well as its aim to become a leader in the global hydrogen economy, while highlighting the potential of hydrogen as a clean energy source in Egypt’s industrial sector.

Mitsubishi Power's expertise in providing cutting-edge hydrogen technology solutions, combined with ANRPC's operational leadership, contributed to the project's success, in a model that it is hoped can be replicated to drive forward further hydrogen adoption across Egypt and the MENA region.

Sayed Al-Rawi, chairman and managing director of ANRPC, said, "We are proud to be part of Egypt's journey towards a clean energy future and to contribute to achieving Egypt Vision 2030 with this pioneering milestone to using hydrogen as a fuel. This project represents an unprecedented achievement for ANRPC, Egypt, and the entire region. By integrating hydrogen into refining processes, we are contributing to reduce Egypt's carbon footprint and set a new standard for the country's industrial sector.”

Javier Cavada, president and CEO, Europe, Middle East and Africa at Mitsubishi Power, added, "The success of this first-of-a-kind hydrogen conversion project marks a milestone in Egypt's transition to clean energy and reflects Mitsubishi Power's global leadership in developing advanced, low-carbon power generation technologies. This project will lay down the foundation to a commercial path for decarbonizing Egypt's industrial facilities with minimal downtime, in addition to demonstrating the tangible and positive impact of hydrogen in reducing emissions and developing sustainable energy solutions."

Global carbon capture capacity. (Image source: GlobalData)

Oil and gas companies are playing a leading role in the development of carbon capture, utilisation, and storage (CCUS) according to a new report from GlobalData

CCUS is widely gaining credence as an important energy transition strategy, given its potential to decarbonise hard-to-abate sectors such as cement, steel, refining, and thermal power generation.

As of 2024, more than 70% of the operational and planned CCUS facilities were associated with energy assets, according to the GlobalData’s Strategic Intelligence report, “Carbon Capture and Storage", indicating a growing commitment by the energy sector to reduce its emissions intensity through innovation in carbon capture and storage technologies. The global energy sector accounted for more than 50 commercial-scale carbon capture projects as of 2024, representing a cumulative carbon capture capacity of approximately 45 million tonnes per annum (MTPA). If all the proposed projects come to fruition, the global carbon capture capacity in the energy sector could rise to nearly 316 MTPA by 2030.

Leading oil and gas players such as ExxonMobil, Occidental Petroleum, and Equinor have taken early initiatives in CCUS, supported by engineering and service companies like Technip Energies, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI), and SLB. These firms are leveraging their expertise in industrial-scale project delivery to develop and execute carbon capture strategies across upstream and downstream operations. For example, Shell Catalysts & Technologies has signed an agreement with Technip Energies to deliver a post-combustion amine-based carbon catpure solution using Shell's CANSOLV CO₂ capture system, designed to make carbon capture more investable, scalable and accessible for industrial sectors and helping hard-to-abate industries to decarbonise.

According to GlobalData’s report, there are 17 carbon capture projects in advanced stages of development that are expected to begin operations later this year. Additionally, around 460 capture projects are under development globally across diverse industries, which will lead to significant capacity growth through 2030.

Middle East CCUS leadership

The Middle East is emerging as a major region for CCUS development. The UAE’s ADNOC operates Al Reyadah, the world’s first commercial scale operation to capture and store CO2 from the steel industry, with a capacity of 800,000 tonnes a year. Further projects are planned and underway such as Habshan, which will have a capture and storage capacity of 1.5MTPA and is set for completion in 2026. CO2 will be injected and placed for permanent storage in ADNOC Onshore’s Bab Far North Field, southwest of Abu Dhabi. ADNOC aims to capture and store 10MTPA of CO2 by 2030. Meanwhile while Aramco has a target of 14 MTPA by 2035, and is developing a major 9MTPA carbon capture hub at Jubail with SLB and Linde, set to be one of the largest in the world.

Ravindra Puranik, Oil and Gas analyst at GlobalData, commented, “Unlike consumer-driven clean energy trends, CCUS adoption is largely influenced by regulatory and economic frameworks, with limited visibility to end users. Policies such as the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS), Canada’s carbon pricing mechanism, and the US 45Q tax credit have been instrumental in unlocking commercial opportunities for CCUS. These frameworks have helped offset the high capital and operational costs of CCUS deployment, particularly in energy-intensive industries, and are driving the emergence of large-scale projects globally.”

Puranik noted however that CCUS still faces a range of challenges that threaten to hamper its scale-up, such as high upfront costs, the lack of fully developed CO₂ transport and storage infrastructure, and limited commercial applications for captured CO₂. Retrofitting existing facilities often adds further complexity, making project economics difficult without consistent policy support.

“Additionally, regulatory uncertainty around permitting processes, cross-border CO₂ transport, and long-term liability for stored carbon continues to pose risks for investors. Public scepticism also persists, with some critics viewing CCUS as a strategy to extend the life of fossil fuels rather than as a legitimate tool for emissions reduction. The absence of standardisation and the fragmented nature of the CCUS value chain further limit the ability to implement integrated, scalable solutions.”