With delays and COVID-19 restrictions hampering oil and gas project timelines in 2020, 2021 is forecast to see a bump in both field starts and final investment decisions across the Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) region, according to GlobalData
Daniel Rogers, senior oil and gas analyst at GlobalData, commented, “A strong start to 2021 has resulted in a number of project approvals across EMEA so far, including the giant US$30bn North Field East development in Qatar, which could well be the largest upstream project sanctioned globally this year. 2021 has provided a ray of optimism for the sector so far as 2020 experienced multi-year lows for project starts and a slump in upstream investment, seeing a decline of approximately 30% in global upstream development and production capex.”
The market turbulence in 2020 led to the majority of E&P companies opting to defer project investment decisions amid capital preservation measures. This year could see those projects reconsidered for investment as lockdown measures ease and oil prices return to pre-COVID-19 levels while economies commence recovery.
Rogers continued, “Some critical projects across Africa are poised for final approval, including Uganda’s first major oil development - the controversial but economically impactful Tilenga oil project led by Total. Furthermore, Morocco’s first offshore gas development, Anchois, aims to play a pivotal role in the country’s strategy of reducing gas imports from Algeria and transitioning to a lower carbon energy source.”
Qatar Petroleum sanctioning the giant North Field East project earlier this month emphasises the long term viability and commerciality of mega LNG projects. However, it may also raise competition for targeting LNG buyers into the late 2020s, potentially creating challenges for upcoming LNG developments elsewhere in the USA, Canada and Mozambique. Other notable projects due for sanction are UAE-based gas developments including the multibillion-dollar Hail and Ghasha sour gas projects and development of the Umm Shaif gas cap.
